Indian Cumin Exports Plummet 28% in FY26 Due to Declining Demand from China.
The Indian cumin (jeera) export sector faced significant challenges during the 2025-26 financial year, marked by a notable decline in off-take primarily due to reduced demand from China, the largest buyer. Export volume dropped by 14% to 1.96 lakh tonnes, with a corresponding value decrease of 28%, resulting in export earnings of $524 million, down from $732.35 million the previous year. This drop can be attributed to China’s improved domestic crop, limiting its need for imports, alongside geopolitical tensions that affected shipments to regions like the Middle East and North Africa.
This decline in cumin exports will likely have direct ramifications for various stakeholders, particularly farmers and the domestic agricultural market. Reduced demand from key markets such as China and the US exacerbates the pressure on Indian farmers who may face lower prices for their produce. The significant percentage decline in export value could culminate in reduced earnings for farmers, which could, in turn, affect their investment capacity for the next planting season. The cumulative impact of these factors could drive a shift in farmers’ crop choices, potentially encouraging a transition to alternative crops with better price stability.
Looking ahead, the long-term outlook for cumin exports hinges largely on several external factors, including the stability of regional geopolitical dynamics and competitive pressures from other cumin-producing countries like China and Syria. The government’s focus may need to pivot toward bolstering exporters through supportive policies, enhancing market access, and improving crop yield technologies. Should the trend of declining demand persist, it may necessitate intervention to stabilize farmer incomes and encourage the cultivation of cumin, especially if carryover stocks begin to accumulate due to stagnant export levels. Economic strategies will, therefore, need to be agile and responsive to address the challenges within the export market for cumin.
Source: The Hindu
(Expert Note: This report was independently prepared by the Wealthova Economy team.)